Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ff90675c1850f9a13bb7f764fef2904ed24ff7579b4e7b0758db8598c2d4a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Toby Samuel, Stefanos Sakellaridis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,290 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 38c | 3,709$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Toby Samuel | 68c | 2,217$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.2 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 19c | 2,175$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toby Samuel | 64c | 2,063$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.01 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 11c | 1,664$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 885.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Toby Samuel | 64c | 624.48$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Toby Samuel | 59c | 610.77$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.41 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 45c | 585.07$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.04 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 501.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 39c | 499.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toby Samuel | 65c | 476.65$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 36c | 413.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 37c | 324.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Toby Samuel | 63c | 319.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Toby Samuel | 63c | 271.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 267.46$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 39c | 249.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 41c | 242.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Toby Samuel | 63c | 225.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Toby Samuel | 57c | 224.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Toby Samuel | 61c | 191$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 190.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 31c | 168.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Toby Samuel | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 41c | 162.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 128.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Toby Samuel | 61c | 113.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Toby Samuel | 66c | 113.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Toby Samuel | 65c | 111.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Toby Samuel | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Toby Samuel | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Toby Samuel | 58c | 90.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 27c | 82.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 26c | 75.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 54.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 38c | 52.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toby Samuel | 62c | 50.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toby Samuel | 65c | 46.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 43.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Toby Samuel | 56c | 42.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Toby Samuel | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 33.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 33.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Toby Samuel | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 30.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Toby Samuel | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Toby Samuel | 66c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 22.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Toby Samuel | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…433dbacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Stefanos Sakellaridisthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Samuel vs SakellaridisSamuel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.