Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa824dd9be09993ceeb189db45079b1d5a3eaffa8215ae6bd5f216da8fc26626b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Evil Geniuses Academy, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 7,098$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.17 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 3,589$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.73 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 17c | 1,312$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 759.92$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.94 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 394.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 379.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 370.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a19…b2a9backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 17c | 261.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 223.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 190.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 165.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 153$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 101.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 82.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 82.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 52.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 30c | 48.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 46.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 37.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 49c | 31.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.