Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa889c847374f1719a80bb1712fd55cee3b957665d770561495b26e7c67836c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Under | 51c | 988.77$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 848.54$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.95 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 576.21$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 47c | 569.46$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 34c | 509.75$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 78c | 404.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 60c | 357.06$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 41c | 289.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 222.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 22c | 181.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…124fbacked Over | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Under | 8c | 138.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 131.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 79c | 117.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 58c | 110.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 101.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 65c | 94.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 64.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 56c | 60.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 50c | 57.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 55.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 38c | 52.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 22c | 52.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 33c | 50.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 47.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 47.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Over | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 47c | 40.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 52c | 37.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 54c | 35.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 56c | 34.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 30.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Under | 47c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 59c | 25.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 80c | 21.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 52c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…7590backed Over | 77c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.