Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa890c61f3e81bc9f618bec8c4689b297f5c7442e778da491a5e9932565ad9aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cf2…843fbacked No | 21c | 12,127$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 7,503$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.54 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 6,190$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.42 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 10c | 2,419$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 79c | 1,993$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.54 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 9c | 1,680$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed No | 8c | 1,275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 18c | 526$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 33c | 419.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 16c | 376.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1,103 | 45.3%500 W · 603 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 78c | 348.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 20c | 347.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 21c | 304.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 24c | 225.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 78c | 221.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 76c | 219.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 79c | 185.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed No | 8c | 166.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed No | 17c | 164.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked No | 8c | 153$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 76c | 148.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes | 77c | 127$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 78c | 120.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 24c | 109.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 77c | 99.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 17c | 97.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 79c | 88.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 16c | 76.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 78c | 65.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…92fdbacked Yes | 79c | 44.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 79c | 33.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e1…5ad3backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…ea93backed Yes | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Yes | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…080ebacked Yes | 79c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.