CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9182dd7c200941550029ec36db2ff24447fc5043e77e9b83981bcf5339a354c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 68c | 3,124$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE | 68c | 2,858$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 1,455$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.71 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 1,076$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked ALGO Esports | 32c | 1,016$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…c5a8backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed KOLESIE | 69c | 925.4$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.22 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…ffe0backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 900.63$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 671.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ALGO Esports | 17c | 600.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed KOLESIE | 68c | 500$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALGO Esports | 34c | 471.76$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed ALGO Esports | 34c | 393.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ALGO Esports | 30c | 293.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked ALGO Esports | 31c | 287.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed KOLESIE | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALGO Esports | 22c | 179.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 163.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed KOLESIE | 66c | 161.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed KOLESIE | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 75c | 141.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed KOLESIE | 65c | 110.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 103.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed KOLESIE | 68c | 86.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked ALGO Esports | 32c | 76.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 75.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked ALGO Esports | 19c | 71.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ALGO Esports | 22c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed KOLESIE | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ALGO Esports | 33c | 46.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked ALGO Esports | 34c | 45.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed KOLESIE | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed KOLESIE | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 79c | 36.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked KOLESIE | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 35.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked KOLESIE | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…e421backed KOLESIE | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KOLESIE | 79c | 27.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked ALGO Esports | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed KOLESIE | 68c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.