Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa964d83c4dd321033c1954de553f92bbf993e8f1c1350e0b96b239d4d34d6504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 20c | 4,181$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.38 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 80c | 2,576$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.63 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 80c | 2,185$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 17c | 1,970$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.11 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 21c | 1,330$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 9c | 1,026$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 79c | 856.66$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 20c | 852.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 20c | 817.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 20c | 739.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 19c | 734.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 78c | 256$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 76c | 244.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 79c | 239.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 23c | 237.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 20c | 227.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 20c | 166.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 20c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 148.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 24c | 138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 20c | 98.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…b8cabacked Yes | 80c | 91.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 79c | 76.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…e333backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yes | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-14?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.