CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BIG Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa972393bb31590c93962a319483d5fcc96c12ac8e228e9c0fc4d5f1a5ec1cd68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof BET-M 33, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BET-M 33 | 46c | 4,373$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked BIG Academy | 55c | 3,143$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.26 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BET-M 33 | 46c | 1,632$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.42 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BIG Academy | 27c | 1,094$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed BIG Academy | 55c | 1,005$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.99 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked BIG Academy | 52c | 976.3$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed BIG Academy | 56c | 804.63$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.04 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 75c | 492.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BET-M 33 | 47c | 406.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 69c | 370.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 53c | 300.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked BET-M 33 | 46c | 270.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed BIG Academy | 56c | 267.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed BIG Academy | 55c | 224.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BIG Academy | 43c | 214.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BIG Academy | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BIG Academy | 38c | 151.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed BET-M 33 | 74c | 141.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed BIG Academy | 56c | 121$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BET-M 33 | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BIG Academy | 49c | 101.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked BET-M 33 | 53c | 84.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked BIG Academy | 53c | 80.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 57.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BET-M 33 | 75c | 57.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BET-M 33 | 29c | 50.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb12…f8f5backed BET-M 33 | 74c | 39.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 39.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed BET-M 33 | 54c | 36.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked BIG Academy | 56c | 33.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BET-M 33 | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed BIG Academy | 55c | 30.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked BIG Academy | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked BIG Academy | 52c | 26.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BET-M 33 | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…3922backed BET-M 33 | 74c | 16.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BET-M 33 | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BIG Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BIG Academy - Map 2 WinnerBIG Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.