Euroleague · resolved market
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Beijing Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b9b582e77675246f0523390cb3fea49a780829d3db5f57fa4046abd4c00309
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianjin Pioneersof Tianjin Pioneers, Beijing Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 11,700$8,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,842 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 24c | 11,700$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,842 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Ducks | 54c | 2,348$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.38 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Ducks | 30c | 1,585$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.43 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 50c | 1,449$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.59 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Beijing Ducks | 51c | 1,103$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.66 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 1,000$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.26 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 25c | 999.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.71 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 732$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 611.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Beijing Ducks | 49c | 562$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Beijing Ducks | 30c | 432.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…6d0fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 56c | 358.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks | 75c | 335.85$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Beijing Ducks | 75c | 325.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Ducks | 48c | 303.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 253.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Tianjin Pioneers | 30c | 250.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 34c | 231.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +155%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 226.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tianjin Pioneers | 26c | 183.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 26c | 180.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Beijing Ducks | 51c | 178.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Beijing Ducks | 74c | 134.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tianjin Pioneers | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Beijing Ducks | 38c | 130.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 128.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 123.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Beijing Ducks | 38c | 103.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 79.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 20c | 79.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…e1f1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 26c | 77.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +287.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Beijing Ducks | 74c | 69.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Beijing Ducks | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…4863backed Beijing Ducks | 53c | 64.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 58.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Beijing Ducks | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Tianjin Pioneers | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Beijing Ducks | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Tianjin Pioneers | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…6e96backed Beijing Ducks | 50c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…41bbbacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…96a6backed Beijing Ducks | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 53c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Beijing Ducks | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.