TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,278 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Over49c2,882$1,412 inLost-$1,412.189345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under51c2,545$1,297 inWon+$1,247.4934357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Over52c1,750$905 inLost-$904.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c677.42$340 inWon+$337.883,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db1…80febacked Under53c552.93$293 inWon+$260.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c529.99$249 inWon+$280.92,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c308.71$157 inWon+$151.882,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c265$125 inWon+$140.452,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Over46c206.73$95 inLost-$95.112871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c172.91$85 inLost-$84.7213445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under48c133$64 inWon+$69.1611963%75 W · 44 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over49c102.13$50 inLost-$5036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over50c100.42$50 inLost-$49.9821251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under53c99.99$53 inWon+$471,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under48c56.05$27 inWon+$28.9623858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under48c56.05$27 inWon+$28.9643460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under51c50$26 inWon+$24.548147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055c…6a54backed Over47c50$24 inLost-$23.58751.7%45 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under50c50$25 inWon+$2517737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost-$206248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…b30abacked Over48c41.53$20 inLost-$2013735%48 W · 89 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over50c30$15 inLost-$1545472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over49c30$15 inLost-$14.552,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c28.82$15 inWon+$14.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over56c23.21$13 inLost-$132540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.