Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb9d6924d836966f499d37154d7aa6078e3a2e0d31568d71357000fd2e3050e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 1,344$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.83 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 51c | 1,001$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.3 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 75c | 820.27$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 705.89$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 38c | 624$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 547.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 44c | 526$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.01 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 51c | 499.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 448.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.4 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 447.23$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 443.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 20c | 301$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Under | 54c | 281.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 273.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 215.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…ebb6backed Over | 47c | 185.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 64c | 180$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 17c | 170.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…1960backed Over | 47c | 106.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 50c | 104.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 102.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 48c | 98.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 44c | 84.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 82.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 80.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 68c | 71.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 35c | 71.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 69c | 51.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 47c | 44.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 32c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 70c | 35.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 54c | 32.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 69c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Team to Take First CornerSweden won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.