Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Alverca vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa0f3e28c0bf8496e665ea4188f6ee7377eab68744c57ec098338485afc3a668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,677$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 63c | 1,376$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 748.73$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 50c | 440.34$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 396.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 52c | 356.04$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 334.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 294.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 280.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 64c | 210.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 71c | 164.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 60c | 110.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 62c | 98.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…c521backed Over | 62c | 94.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 91.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 50c | 47.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 40c | 41.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 73c | 21.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Alverca vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Alverca vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Alverca vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Alverca vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Alverca vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.