NHL · resolved market
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Ontario Reign
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafea769e2ad2282dead45bf68636bf6ddc27aa91a7f3d32185d1a023f784967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coachella Valley Firebirdsof Coachella Valley Firebirds, Ontario Reign
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Ontario Reign | 46c | 860$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 54c | 839.9$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.76 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Ontario Reign | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 42c | 262.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 158$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Ontario Reign | 52c | 116.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 116.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ontario Reign | 45c | 109.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ontario Reign | 55c | 106.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 39c | 97.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 54c | 82.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 43c | 54.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ontario Reign | 51c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ontario Reign | 49c | 49.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ontario Reign | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 34c | 41.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ontario Reign | 57c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Ontario Reign | 46c | 33.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ontario Reign | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ontario Reign | 52c | 28.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ontario Reign | 46c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.