Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab208accb55c13edcbe04f636f1ea40b6c180d77a85cc410f633dac354b0cd0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 26c | 779.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 403.84$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.33 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Under | 9c | 301.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 288.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 10c | 249.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 18c | 145$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 19c | 131.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 26c | 109.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 85.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 53.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Lausanne-Sport vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SK Sigma Olomouc (-1.5)FC Lausanne-Sport won
- Spread: SK Sigma Olomouc (-2.5)FC Lausanne-Sport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.