WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab55c18f6e014f11aa1a988f604beb4f0ad8f60c0006a3700991a32e88f7af51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Sky | 17c | 25,456$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sky | 18c | 13,000$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.24 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 17c | 4,385$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.37 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sky | 16c | 3,927$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.67 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sky | 16c | 3,217$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.66 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lynx | 75c | 3,013$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Sky | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 16c | 2,439$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.93 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sky | 17c | 2,350$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.18 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sky | 26c | 1,885$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.27 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Sky | 17c | 1,526$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sky | 18c | 1,011$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sky | 16c | 992.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sky | 32c | 909$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sky | 17c | 899.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sky | 26c | 823.87$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sky | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sky | 18c | 673.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sky | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Sky | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sky | 18c | 282.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sky | 20c | 249.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…c0c8backed Sky | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sky | 17c | 172$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Sky | 19c | 122.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Sky | 17c | 117.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 17c | 115.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…62f3backed Sky | 18c | 108.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sky | 20c | 101.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sky | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…437abacked Sky | 19c | 59.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Lynx | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Lynx | 60c | 38.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.