CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9758432c0d240ca7f99ca7c254f1471664121ba15533fec05c8f690a096aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof QUAZAR, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf08…f521backed QUAZAR | 39c | 2,010$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed QUAZAR | 24c | 1,889$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.81 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8a…c0f0backed QUAZAR | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…5aebbacked VP.Prodigy | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed VP.Prodigy | 65c | 746.75$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.69 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…3a98backed VP.Prodigy | 61c | 680$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…6734backed VP.Prodigy | 61c | 670$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…90ecbacked VP.Prodigy | 61c | 660$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 52c | 507.82$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.62 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy | 61c | 487.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked QUAZAR | 15c | 469.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 457.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.55 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…c205backed QUAZAR | 35c | 368.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 27c | 313.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed QUAZAR | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed QUAZAR | 54c | 279.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked VP.Prodigy | 46c | 253.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…0ffdbacked VP.Prodigy | 76c | 223.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 193.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 167.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 165.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…bdf1backed QUAZAR | 30c | 165.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed QUAZAR | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed QUAZAR | 19c | 110.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked QUAZAR | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…ed72backed QUAZAR | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 87.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUAZAR | 54c | 83.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 83.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed VP.Prodigy | 51c | 77.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked VP.Prodigy | 69c | 61.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked QUAZAR | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 54.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked VP.Prodigy | 59c | 51.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked QUAZAR | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked QUAZAR | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed QUAZAR | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ec…2d9fbacked QUAZAR | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…7c0fbacked QUAZAR | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed QUAZAR | 41c | 25.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…b3cdbacked QUAZAR | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…78e5backed QUAZAR | 49c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked QUAZAR | 68c | 20.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…11fabacked VP.Prodigy | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed VP.Prodigy | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…e696backed VP.Prodigy | 73c | 13.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs VP.Prodigy - Map 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.