NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb139028be57da7c7a1dbcc8e3ae21923755ff4f066814f2cf35c54c7da2ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof Dinamo Minsk, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 1,793$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.69 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Dinamo Minsk | 72c | 1,366$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 35c | 1,154$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.9 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 32c | 431.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 29c | 430.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 66c | 302.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 29c | 288.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 35c | 173.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dinamo Minsk | 68c | 140.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 128$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 123.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 16c | 104.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 33c | 102.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 90.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 69c | 60.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 30c | 41.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Dinamo Minsk | 65c | 24.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dinamo Minsk | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.