NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabbb9165d095c101de333c3fb9be3ede9a828cb5d2574cf3727a97d3982347b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Sabres, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44f…b4d2backed Stars | 65c | 9,996$6,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1745…7755backed Sabres | 35c | 9,996$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 3,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Sabres | 33c | 1,550$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.49 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 65c | 999.99$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 66c | 992.54$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.11 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Sabres | 37c | 686.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 33c | 562.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 33c | 341.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Stars | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Stars | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Stars | 67c | 283.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 35c | 250$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 32c | 249.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabres | 33c | 211.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Stars | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sabres | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Sabres | 34c | 167.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…b30abacked Sabres | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Stars | 64c | 140.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 35c | 138.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Stars | 66c | 135.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Sabres | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…0b6dbacked Sabres | 40c | 111.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Stars | 60c | 110.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Stars | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Stars | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Stars | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc052…8ba4backed Sabres | 39c | 71.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 32c | 69.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…a2e8backed Sabres | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…be87backed Stars | 61c | 57.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…b988backed Sabres | 33c | 57.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…b80ebacked Stars | 67c | 54.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sabres | 35c | 54.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…4941backed Sabres | 38c | 45.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…a1aebacked Sabres | 33c | 44.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ff…d164backed Sabres | 33c | 42.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…e94ebacked Sabres | 27c | 40.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…a542backed Sabres | 34c | 40.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Stars | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…e5c5backed Sabres | 34c | 39.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Stars | 68c | 36.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…16fcbacked Sabres | 34c | 36.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8b…cf6fbacked Stars | 66c | 36.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d1dcbacked Sabres | 35c | 35.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…0d13backed Stars | 66c | 35.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…f184backed Sabres | 36c | 35.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…45abbacked Stars | 64c | 35.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaee…d5a1backed Sabres | 39c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528b…0d72backed Stars | 66c | 34.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…0d32backed Sabres | 34c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…97ddbacked Stars | 68c | 33.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…778abacked Sabres | 32c | 33.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…a7febacked Sabres | 33c | 33.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…0452backed Sabres | 33c | 33.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…1a4fbacked Sabres | 39c | 33.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…9223backed Stars | 66c | 32.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8cd9backed Sabres | 34c | 32.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…da6bbacked Stars | 68c | 32.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…447ebacked Stars | 67c | 32.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sabres | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…3258backed Stars | 67c | 31.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ef…2619backed Sabres | 34c | 31.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…e1f6backed Stars | 63c | 30.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…3b50backed Sabres | 33c | 30.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…abaabacked Stars | 67c | 30.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…62dbbacked Stars | 68c | 30.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…870abacked Stars | 61c | 30.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…88debacked Sabres | 39c | 30.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…547fbacked Stars | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…28d4backed Stars | 68c | 29.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Stars | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…adcabacked Stars | 62c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…f3f9backed Stars | 66c | 28.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…4483backed Stars | 65c | 27.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…8268backed Sabres | 39c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…58b5backed Stars | 68c | 26.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…3292backed Stars | 66c | 26.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f80…3c0ebacked Stars | 62c | 26.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…4c27backed Sabres | 39c | 25.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…9e66backed Stars | 67c | 25.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…81a3backed Stars | 67c | 25.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…4f52backed Stars | 67c | 25.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…d031backed Stars | 68c | 24.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…407dbacked Stars | 66c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…4c77backed Stars | 68c | 24.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…93adbacked Stars | 64c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6141…70e6backed Stars | 66c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…cc9cbacked Stars | 67c | 23.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…3db8backed Stars | 68c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…e2e3backed Stars | 66c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…efe5backed Stars | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5892…1959backed Stars | 67c | 22.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…12c0backed Stars | 67c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…3d04backed Stars | 68c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afb…7d74backed Stars | 67c | 21.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.