Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabea2f7d21ae23163b02a41bc986d053ebddf1c18accd43b49111d906af0b409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Svitolina, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Noskova | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Noskova | 1c | 742.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Svitolina | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Svitolina | 41c | 248.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Noskova | 63c | 222.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Noskova | 36c | 206.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763c…25b2backed Noskova | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Noskova | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Svitolina | 24c | 98.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Noskova | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Noskova | 41c | 61.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Noskova | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Svitolina | 52c | 57.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Noskova | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina | 37c | 51.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Svitolina | 38c | 35.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Noskova | 72c | 33.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Noskova | 51c | 20.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)this page
- Linda Noskova vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Noskova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina SvitolinaElina Svitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs SvitolinaSvitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.