Tennis · resolved market
Noskova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad14db35e3bf26d6e45dfdd7b8b6047a1287de8895922e6f80f27a4fe7a1803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 55c | 5,389$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 1,296$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.83 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 44c | 1,289$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.82 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over | 44c | 392.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 389$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 253.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 157.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 136.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Under | 21c | 84.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Over | 45c | 65.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Under | 49c | 59.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 21c | 52.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 45c | 34.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…6580backed Over | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Over | 45c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Noskova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Linda Noskova vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina SvitolinaElina Svitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs SvitolinaSvitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.