Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17a6bbc1c6151472574efdf63d825a9fa651f8d38657846d742474812881f7da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Noskova, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Noskova | 45c | 1,706$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Svitolina | 54c | 1,578$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.17 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Noskova | 45c | 508.6$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Svitolina | 59c | 492.04$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Svitolina | 51c | 403.78$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Svitolina | 54c | 312.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noskova | 45c | 232.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Noskova | 54c | 179.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Svitolina | 63c | 168.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Noskova | 46c | 157.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ebe4backed Svitolina | 56c | 127.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Noskova | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…17d5backed Svitolina | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Svitolina | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Noskova | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Noskova | 70c | 79.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked Svitolina | 39c | 75.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Noskova | 59c | 72.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina | 57c | 62.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Noskova | 43c | 60.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Noskova | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Noskova | 61c | 58.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Noskova | 52c | 56.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Svitolina | 62c | 53.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Noskova | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Noskova | 47c | 45.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Noskova | 39c | 36.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Noskova | 51c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Svitolina | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs Svitolinathis page
- Linda Noskova vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Noskova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina SvitolinaElina Svitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.