Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac189eb4577ff51270cdcb3eb01e8807f2fc1f60572414bcd15145f10671ed55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Auger-Aliassime, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Medvedev | 56c | 1,780$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 605.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Auger-Aliassime | 40c | 591.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.23 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Medvedev | 56c | 536.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 531.91$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 396.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Medvedev | 51c | 204.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Medvedev | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 198.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Medvedev | 61c | 183.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Medvedev | 58c | 172.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 146.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Medvedev | 53c | 96.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Medvedev | 51c | 87.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 42c | 86.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 86.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Medvedev | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 77.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Medvedev | 51c | 63.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 51.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…100fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…13a1backed Medvedev | 59c | 45.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Auger-Aliassime | 37c | 39.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medvedev | 51c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Medvedevthis page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.