Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2458ec98f887f3943909935b13b5f0a001910b1b9d8983cd37834c171374f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Under | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 76c | 2,203$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 2,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…ed6dbacked Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 922.43$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked Over | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…8266backed Over | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 25c | 488.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 26c | 450.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 25c | 362.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 200 | 25.5%51 W · 149 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Over | 73c | 335.62$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 73c | 273.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 268.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 24c | 244.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…082dbacked Over | 73c | 179.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…5b63backed Under | 29c | 161.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 157.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 29c | 154.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Under | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…dd4fbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 29c | 102.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 27c | 81.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…d0c7backed Under | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a043backed Under | 28c | 57.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…ebe8backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 74c | 49.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…72b5backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…9394backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 27c | 37.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…816bbacked Over | 73c | 28.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…340fbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8346backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…0ac8backed Over | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Over | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 139 | 76.3%106 W · 33 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 73c | 18.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Morocco: France O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Morocco: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Morocco: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.