Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac49b845be7f500b02682c8c27dd945c080f9473cc163e02ddc16aeb23d72d23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 2c | 47,264$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.46 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 33c | 3,146$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 2,901$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.22 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 33c | 1,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,508$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.34 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 661.32$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 14c | 366$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 264.93$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 35c | 171.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 139.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 134.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…a3c5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…2e29backed Yes | 20c | 63.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 45.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 68c | 37.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ad0ebacked No | 65c | 17.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…88debacked No | 65c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 67c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will FC Nantes vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.