Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Charlie Pade vs Harrison Satara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6f4a046008ac0191639ba93187c48807d7b24a13ecce9cd3a3e5da14be801d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlie Padeof Charlie Pade, Harrison Satara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Charlie Pade | 69c | 1,123$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Harrison Satara | 44c | 933.85$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charlie Pade | 62c | 437.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Harrison Satara | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…0208backed Charlie Pade | 22c | 250$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Harrison Satara | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Harrison Satara | 47c | 165.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Harrison Satara | 67c | 158.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Charlie Pade | 51c | 154.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Harrison Satara | 59c | 137.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Harrison Satara | 62c | 111.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Harrison Satara | 32c | 99.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Charlie Pade | 55c | 91.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Harrison Satara | 16c | 71.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Charlie Pade | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Harrison Satara | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Charlie Pade | 52c | 58.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Harrison Satara | 36c | 40.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Harrison Satara | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Harrison Satara | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Harrison Satara | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Harrison Satara | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Charlie Pade | 46c | 39.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Harrison Satara | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…1257backed Charlie Pade | 71c | 21.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Harrison Satara | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.