Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac9c22ec5e91e6f51d4e7105f145e191a02da37cd2fbf7cd94b8a7dcb8d9ee8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Varvara Panshinaof Varvara Panshina, Kira Pavlova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Kira Pavlova | 23c | 12,953$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.47 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Varvara Panshina | 78c | 5,899$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.1 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Varvara Panshina | 78c | 3,659$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.67 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Varvara Panshina | 77c | 3,646$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.45 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Varvara Panshina | 69c | 2,142$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.02 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Kira Pavlova | 22c | 1,554$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.75 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Kira Pavlova | 20c | 1,491$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kira Pavlova | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Kira Pavlova | 23c | 818.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Varvara Panshina | 79c | 766.35$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kira Pavlova | 14c | 706.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kira Pavlova | 32c | 541.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kira Pavlova | 44c | 481.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Kira Pavlova | 17c | 362.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Varvara Panshina | 55c | 295.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Varvara Panshina | 79c | 267$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…f31cbacked Kira Pavlova | 10c | 249.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Varvara Panshina | 78c | 221.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Kira Pavlova | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Kira Pavlova | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kira Pavlova | 45c | 176.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Kira Pavlova | 12c | 173.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…caddbacked Kira Pavlova | 29c | 166.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kira Pavlova | 20c | 161.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Varvara Panshina | 65c | 154.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Varvara Panshina | 64c | 135$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Kira Pavlova | 18c | 135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Varvara Panshina | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Varvara Panshina | 73c | 129.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…862dbacked Kira Pavlova | 21c | 117.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Varvara Panshina | 65c | 105.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Varvara Panshina | 73c | 104.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Varvara Panshina | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kira Pavlova | 18c | 94.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Varvara Panshina | 57c | 92.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Kira Pavlova | 15c | 91.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Varvara Panshina | 66c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kira Pavlova | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Varvara Panshina | 79c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Varvara Panshina | 80c | 72.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Kira Pavlova | 28c | 71.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kira Pavlova | 31c | 71.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Varvara Panshina | 55c | 67.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Kira Pavlova | 45c | 65.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Varvara Panshina | 67c | 63.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Varvara Panshina | 57c | 56.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa338…2acabacked Kira Pavlova | 29c | 54.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Varvara Panshina | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Varvara Panshina | 73c | 47.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Kira Pavlova | 32c | 46.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Kira Pavlova | 43c | 43.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Varvara Panshina | 66c | 43.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Varvara Panshina | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Varvara Panshina | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Varvara Panshina | 57c | 37.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Varvara Panshina | 66c | 34.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…1d04backed Varvara Panshina | 58c | 33.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Varvara Panshina | 74c | 28.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kira Pavlova | 45c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Varvara Panshina | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kira Pavlova | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kira Pavlova | 46c | 21.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Varvara Panshina | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Varvara Panshina | 77c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.