Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Worcestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad35cf9ef43bef46f5b03a8dfe3f3fd43eed07a6fb696179c1047f5fe9497523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Worcestershireof Leicestershire, Worcestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Leicestershire | 42c | 6,899$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.62 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Worcestershire | 60c | 4,395$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.68 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Worcestershire | 54c | 2,820$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.92 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Worcestershire | 50c | 1,701$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.04 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Leicestershire | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Leicestershire | 49c | 918.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leicestershire | 22c | 620.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Leicestershire | 43c | 229.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Leicestershire | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Worcestershire | 62c | 191.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Worcestershire | 53c | 78.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Leicestershire | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Worcestershire | 75c | 66.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Worcestershire | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Leicestershire | 52c | 49.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Worcestershire | 57c | 44.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Worcestershire | 60c | 43.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Leicestershire | 46c | 43.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Worcestershire | 48c | 42.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Leicestershire | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Worcestershire | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Leicestershire | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…7765backed Worcestershire | 50c | 28.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…f807backed Leicestershire | 50c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…beddbacked Worcestershire | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…8e1ebacked Worcestershire | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…1f0abacked Leicestershire | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…4763backed Leicestershire | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a902backed Worcestershire | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Worcestershire | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Worcestershire | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Worcestershire | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.