Lol · resolved market
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad618f739769f14cc92828fb990fd110bceec594d8c49d71daf8f9bfbe737506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof UCAM Esports Club, Karmine Corp Blue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Karmine Corp Blue | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked UCAM Esports Club | 54c | 1,768$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.86 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp Blue | 14c | 753.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 897 | 46.9%421 W · 476 L | +43.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed UCAM Esports Club | 73c | 624.04$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp Blue | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 17c | 591.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 33.5%127 W · 252 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…6050backed Karmine Corp Blue | 57c | 539.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Karmine Corp Blue | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp Blue | 59c | 443.17$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.47 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Karmine Corp Blue | 6c | 305.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 515 | 54.4%280 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 42c | 302.31$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Karmine Corp Blue | 24c | 299.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 294$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…8726backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 267.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 254.64$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Karmine Corp Blue | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…87d6backed UCAM Esports Club | 68c | 249.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 6c | 247.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…f7d7backed Karmine Corp Blue | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Karmine Corp Blue | 23c | 196.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed UCAM Esports Club | 80c | 161$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 156.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 15c | 130.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Karmine Corp Blue | 14c | 125.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 121.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 574 | 51.4%295 W · 279 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp Blue | 28c | 112.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed UCAM Esports Club | 71c | 108.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…a39dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2a…6ce3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 38c | 76.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…f1e9backed UCAM Esports Club | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 574 | 49.7%285 W · 289 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Karmine Corp Blue | 17c | 70.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…a96cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 60c | 65.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 304 | 66.4%202 W · 102 L | +34.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 64.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 49.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 39c | 42.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Karmine Corp Blue | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed UCAM Esports Club | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed UCAM Esports Club | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 35.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed UCAM Esports Club | 60c | 34.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 679 | 57.9%393 W · 286 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 33.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 56c | 29.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…cae0backed UCAM Esports Club | 42c | 27.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 419 | 47%197 W · 222 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…1e8fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 25.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked UCAM Esports Club | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)UCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.