CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad69faf299e502248758c4904288235632682dbd9f0605dfe41fc38a58e3d8e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof against All authority, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed against All authority | 15c | 1,237$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed against All authority | 15c | 831.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC | 76c | 531.89$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed against All authority | 24c | 531$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed against All authority | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed against All authority | 15c | 355.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked against All authority | 19c | 251.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed against All authority | 19c | 246.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked against All authority | 8c | 221.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed against All authority | 17c | 206.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked against All authority | 13c | 203.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed against All authority | 15c | 182$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed against All authority | 16c | 177.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed against All authority | 19c | 170.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed against All authority | 15c | 170$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed against All authority | 16c | 164.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…7712backed against All authority | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed against All authority | 17c | 148.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked against All authority | 9c | 124.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed against All authority | 29c | 107$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed against All authority | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked against All authority | 12c | 94.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed RUSTEC | 79c | 31.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked RUSTEC | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed RUSTEC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cagainst All authority won
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winneragainst All authority won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)against All authority won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.