MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad774020d8a05f8d97bd2f4a6806a75d1c3846832b4e6443a657dac981125289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kiwoom Heroes, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 720$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 508$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 502.75$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 414.88$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 410$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 373.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 299.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 273.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 197.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 173.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 150.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 139.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 11c | 117$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 104.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 73.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 71.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 57.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…3592backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 51.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 49.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 40.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 35.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 35.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 35.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 34.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 34.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 31.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 25.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…2de3backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Samsung Lions | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.