Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Yusuke Kusuhara vs Shu Matsuoka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9a2b7e7a9d0c77a8f50fc77270985b5e6987bb58e75d2dcd1ce9de16872ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yusuke Kusuharaof Yusuke Kusuhara, Shu Matsuoka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 44c | 2,155$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.44 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…b743backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 37c | 1,878$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Shu Matsuoka | 62c | 1,307$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.25 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 58c | 1,288$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.46 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 73c | 637.99$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Shu Matsuoka | 40c | 490$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shu Matsuoka | 28c | 426.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Shu Matsuoka | 30c | 389.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shu Matsuoka | 26c | 330$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shu Matsuoka | 48c | 294.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shu Matsuoka | 62c | 212$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 47c | 211.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shu Matsuoka | 54c | 189.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shu Matsuoka | 60c | 186.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Shu Matsuoka | 25c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shu Matsuoka | 41c | 121$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shu Matsuoka | 34c | 114.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shu Matsuoka | 37c | 108.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 38c | 94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Shu Matsuoka | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 56c | 60.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 66c | 51.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shu Matsuoka | 62c | 47.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 50c | 37.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shu Matsuoka | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Shu Matsuoka | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 36c | 32.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 52c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.