Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Dan Added
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9da80b69a9fc60a32a8f6587c93dbfa860855083bd6edfc1ae49846e2a1948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Dan Added
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Dan Added | 23c | 2,176$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.42 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Dan Added | 8c | 1,505$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dan Added | 14c | 730.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Dan Added | 3c | 486.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 401.77$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dan Added | 6c | 397.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dan Added | 20c | 379.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 324.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Dan Added | 12c | 308.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Dan Added | 21c | 243.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Dan Added | 21c | 235$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dan Added | 20c | 218.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Dan Added | 6c | 206.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…4f5fbacked Dan Added | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Dan Added | 21c | 144.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Dan Added | 16c | 119.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 99.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Dan Added | 21c | 95.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Dan Added | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Dan Added | 21c | 78.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.