Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nice: Jenny Lim vs Margaux Rouvroy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadfb183eb5d472c4863ad0994617657deb2b7581a2bb4f6ab5573b3dc196198b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jenny Limof Jenny Lim, Margaux Rouvroy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 69c | 1,930$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.61 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Margaux Rouvroy | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Jenny Lim | 22c | 775.18$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.64 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jenny Lim | 46c | 739.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.77 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jenny Lim | 33c | 737.21$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.93 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Jenny Lim | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Margaux Rouvroy | 62c | 425$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Jenny Lim | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Margaux Rouvroy | 52c | 110.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jenny Lim | 48c | 109.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 64c | 104$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Margaux Rouvroy | 58c | 62.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jenny Lim | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Jenny Lim | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…abeebacked Margaux Rouvroy | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Margaux Rouvroy | 59c | 29.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Jenny Lim | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Margaux Rouvroy | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.