Asian League · resolved market
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadfefd653a8a7330cd93f758c10621c87f4812d1fa716039257f2a65a921a118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 70c | 3,738$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.65 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 2,330$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.33 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 804.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.38 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 31c | 299.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 60c | 265.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 46c | 252.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 214.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 183.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yes | 57c | 170.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 48c | 166.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 55c | 88.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed No | 42c | 70.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 53c | 69.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 62.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 40.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Yes | 56c | 30.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.