Asian League · resolved market
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a89b05bef650d304f40d454ca7bf93f527cd2d2e039827045bf92c8c96f0cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 53c | 1,879$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.16 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 1,743$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.77 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,092$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.81 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Over | 36c | 948.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 697.38$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.38 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 519.69$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 39c | 507$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 472.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 46c | 463.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.37 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 436.7$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 38c | 333$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 79c | 248.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 36c | 169.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 144.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 36c | 142.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 37c | 136.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 108$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 63c | 98.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 64c | 79.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 63.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 59.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 30c | 40.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…72aabacked Over | 54c | 27.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 38c | 26.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 64c | 23.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…f050backed Under | 62c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 22.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 64c | 20.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 64c | 18.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 64c | 18.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 16.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.