Asian League · resolved market
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb47f6aaa0f2c63d81ce7c5146f3739218f69eab109681efe0cb7ed4d56d2ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 65c | 3,333$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 2,359$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.96 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Under | 43c | 1,964$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 1,154$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.79 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 665.11$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 327.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 58c | 192.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 177.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 172.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 35c | 151.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 55c | 108.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 38c | 86.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 48c | 83.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 76.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 35c | 70.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Over | 57c | 59.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 55c | 27.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Over | 51c | 25.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 19.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.