Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Omaha Mavericks vs. Denver Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae142d1c1b209a0aebafe3ea896c04e3084ead4bfb45861821b9f5d0fc6542b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omaha Mavericksof Omaha Mavericks, Denver Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Omaha Mavericks | 54c | 1,156$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.53 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Denver Pioneers | 59c | 1,099$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.08 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denver Pioneers | 10c | 909.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Omaha Mavericks | 26c | 709.21$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers | 49c | 554.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denver Pioneers | 6c | 377.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Denver Pioneers | 12c | 356.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers | 10c | 341.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 77c | 201.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Omaha Mavericks | 19c | 172.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Denver Pioneers | 34c | 131$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Denver Pioneers | 79c | 114.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Denver Pioneers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Denver Pioneers | 32c | 98.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Omaha Mavericks | 65c | 87.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Omaha Mavericks | 43c | 77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 44c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4edb…9963backed Omaha Mavericks | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Denver Pioneers | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Denver Pioneers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Omaha Mavericks | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Denver Pioneers | 75c | 48.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Denver Pioneers | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Denver Pioneers | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Denver Pioneers | 72c | 36.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Denver Pioneers | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Omaha Mavericks | 44c | 31.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Denver Pioneers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Omaha Mavericks | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denver Pioneers | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Omaha Mavericks | 44c | 29.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Denver Pioneers | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Omaha Mavericks vs. Denver Pioneersthis page
- Omaha Mavericks vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.