Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae1a1ee6f9c5c4555fbb3ae2e541be7d123793f4ab826fed024ec3a7162045f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 20c | 2,600$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 78c | 1,410$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.2 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 79c | 1,120$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.6 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 1,071$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 745.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 22c | 640.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9cedbacked Over | 57c | 528.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 79c | 500.32$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.92 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 23c | 441.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.49 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 51c | 418.37$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 386.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Over | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.95 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 79c | 334.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…3abdbacked Under | 80c | 331.1$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over | 69c | 316.68$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 11c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 199.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 80c | 185.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 23c | 184.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 72c | 168.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 16c | 127.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…e8f5backed Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…d8f6backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 21c | 86.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Under | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Under | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 65.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…fbeabacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Over | 79c | 43.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 71c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…17bebacked Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a06…d8d6backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…8e27backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7bb2backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…639dbacked Over | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.