Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a9c24b82553f44b1963488e42a9395e784530131c9ead0a200bb648bd8d72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 77c | 6,044$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.03 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 23c | 2,983$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.89 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 1,683$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…c73fbacked Over | 76c | 1,318$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.38 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 1,136$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 1,136$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 23c | 1,011$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.19 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 798.82$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under | 10c | 736.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 78c | 647.15$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 22c | 641.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 24c | 600$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 518.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Under | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 23c | 345.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 78c | 329$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…f776backed Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 77c | 252.83$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Over | 78c | 174.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…b584backed Under | 18c | 149.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 22c | 134.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 22c | 112.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 111.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 21c | 111.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 85.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 24c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…6495backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…4d80backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba7b…91f5backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 261 | 44.8%117 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Over | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.