Premier League · resolved market
Brentford vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae623a829a90116bb52e8cd2a460d69012cf8a3302c52a5cd196b047f8ad0664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 3,553$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.2 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,936$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 52c | 1,007$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.44 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 53c | 960$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 46c | 698.52$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.28 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 52c | 685$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 599.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 47c | 533.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Over | 41c | 499$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 64c | 491.75$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 53c | 367.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 52c | 334.62$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 55c | 275.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 53c | 255.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Over | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Under | 48c | 199.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 43c | 199.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 165.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 53c | 149.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 37c | 133.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Over | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 52c | 96.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 57c | 79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 34.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…7b63backed Over | 54c | 25.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…d40bbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Over | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5this page
- Brentford vs. Newcastle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Newcastle (-0.5)Brentford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.