Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ryo Tabata
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae66b25d2029d0d0f461240f8a07359c1750cb8deb6e7ec3bfcc7355385fe38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egor Pleshivtsevof Egor Pleshivtsev, Ryo Tabata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 52c | 2,124$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.54 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Egor Pleshivtsev | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.89 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ryo Tabata | 52c | 1,619$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.77 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Ryo Tabata | 41c | 1,050$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.43 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 47c | 439.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Egor Pleshivtsev | 57c | 320.37$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 51c | 268.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Ryo Tabata | 42c | 184.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Ryo Tabata | 68c | 184$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 203 | 51.2%104 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Egor Pleshivtsev | 56c | 173.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Ryo Tabata | 45c | 144.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Egor Pleshivtsev | 48c | 81.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 70c | 69.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 824 | 60.6%499 W · 325 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Ryo Tabata | 56c | 60.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 42c | 54.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 51c | 40.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ryo Tabata | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Ryo Tabata | 61c | 39.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ryo Tabata | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…d984backed Ryo Tabata | 53c | 29.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Ryo Tabata | 67c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 40c | 26.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,090 | 52.6%573 W · 517 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Egor Pleshivtsev | 67c | 22.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4c3abacked Egor Pleshivtsev | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 141 | 74.5%105 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Ryo Tabata | 67c | 19.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 667 | 78.6%524 W · 143 L | +48.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Astana: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ryo Tabatathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Pleshivtsev vs TabataPleshivtsev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.