MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae900ddaf7de347977652eab935f5890a6d33fb0fbc76f42430f5c53421532d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Kia Tigers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 53c | 538.55$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 344.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.46 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 45c | 290.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 45c | 266.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 221.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…daacbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 186.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked KT Wiz | 52c | 141.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 23c | 137.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 116.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked KT Wiz | 42c | 114.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a73…de17backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 93.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed KT Wiz | 63c | 93.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 88.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 64c | 85.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 84.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 78.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Kia Tigers | 29c | 70.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 67c | 66.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed KT Wiz | 31c | 63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KT Wiz | 60c | 55.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Kia Tigers | 33c | 51.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed KT Wiz | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed KT Wiz | 43c | 48.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 37c | 44.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked KT Wiz | 45c | 42.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 42.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 42.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 34.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 34.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KT Wiz | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 25.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed KT Wiz | 47c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…e132backed KT Wiz | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.