CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae90cd6f4ebc39654a87c6173d9254d210be7c4acaa451150a796f4f8721f362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof Heroic, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 3DMAX | 63c | 2,149$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.01 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Heroic | 39c | 2,012$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.56 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…4a43backed Heroic | 37c | 1,876$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Heroic | 30c | 877.22$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 3DMAX | 67c | 751.68$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed 3DMAX | 66c | 638.62$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 67c | 589.71$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Heroic | 48c | 533.32$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked 3DMAX | 76c | 235.89$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Heroic | 36c | 218.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Heroic | 33c | 201.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed 3DMAX | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed 3DMAX | 51c | 192.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed 3DMAX | 47c | 182.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 23c | 182.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…19ddbacked 3DMAX | 71c | 169.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 3DMAX | 55c | 152.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Heroic | 58c | 149.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Heroic | 34c | 137$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Heroic | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 104.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed 3DMAX | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked 3DMAX | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Heroic | 61c | 99.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX | 59c | 98.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Heroic | 58c | 86.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed 3DMAX | 67c | 64.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Heroic | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…5cc6backed 3DMAX | 68c | 58.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Heroic | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked Heroic | 36c | 46.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Heroic | 32c | 43.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed 3DMAX | 64c | 30.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed 3DMAX | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 3DMAX | 74c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Heroic | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…148dbacked 3DMAX | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed 3DMAX | 65c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.