CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091c3f8824c3c4a03eadbacb8b1e4159fa7308cf3345a4ea73d9b669fdfd94b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof 3DMAX, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 3DMAX | 4c | 2,839$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 3DMAX | 9c | 2,148$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX | 14c | 1,666$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Heroic | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX | 14c | 999.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 3DMAX | 9c | 681.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 3DMAX | 3c | 679$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 3DMAX | 35c | 659.94$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 3DMAX | 14c | 637.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX | 17c | 584.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 61c | 531.88$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 63c | 477.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked 3DMAX | 8c | 474.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed 3DMAX | 32c | 314.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 3DMAX | 32c | 307.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed 3DMAX | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heroic | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Heroic | 79c | 262.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked 3DMAX | 7c | 253.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed 3DMAX | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 3DMAX | 38c | 226.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 3DMAX | 33c | 207$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 3DMAX | 8c | 178$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 3DMAX | 16c | 167.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed 3DMAX | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked 3DMAX | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 365 | 40%146 W · 219 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed 3DMAX | 34c | 130.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed 3DMAX | 33c | 128.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed 3DMAX | 38c | 122.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked 3DMAX | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked 3DMAX | 34c | 85.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 286 | 37.4%107 W · 179 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Heroic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 3DMAX | 18c | 69.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed 3DMAX | 16c | 66.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 3DMAX | 25c | 58.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Heroic | 77c | 47.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Heroic | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Heroic | 61c | 34.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Heroic | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Heroic | 55c | 24.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 3DMAX | 45c | 23.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Heroic | 74c | 22.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.