Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gods Reign vs S8UL Esports (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec255aff7824beefd77b01d266454b6fed766cb82274965fbe74f77939d1a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gods Reignof Gods Reign, S8UL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,443 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x338c…1b33backed S8UL Esports | 60c | 2,581$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.14 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Gods Reign | 40c | 1,500$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.4 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Gods Reign | 38c | 1,335$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Gods Reign | 45c | 681.57$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked S8UL Esports | 62c | 649.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…f9c8backed Gods Reign | 37c | 597$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356c…01eebacked Gods Reign | 35c | 588$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…3c88backed Gods Reign | 38c | 550$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed S8UL Esports | 55c | 524.82$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.65 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked S8UL Esports | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Gods Reign | 37c | 337.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…151dbacked S8UL Esports | 62c | 330$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d52bbacked S8UL Esports | 65c | 327$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d5…1af9backed S8UL Esports | 63c | 322$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Gods Reign | 71c | 290.57$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…207dbacked S8UL Esports | 63c | 275$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…4bf1backed S8UL Esports | 65c | 261$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked S8UL Esports | 61c | 249.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…ff3ebacked S8UL Esports | 62c | 220$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gods Reign | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Gods Reign | 37c | 153.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed S8UL Esports | 56c | 148$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked S8UL Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed S8UL Esports | 31c | 97.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gods Reign | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed S8UL Esports | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked S8UL Esports | 31c | 61.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed S8UL Esports | 64c | 50.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed S8UL Esports | 59c | 40.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Gods Reign | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Gods Reign | 36c | 37.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gods Reign | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed S8UL Esports | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed S8UL Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.