Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Santa Clara Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf003362bc52ff416598d1cbb7a03143b009580a927174471d595039e0c7fa1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Saint Mary's Gaels, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 7c | 2,113$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos | 77c | 1,510$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 27c | 1,433$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 885.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 420.85$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 12c | 416.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 400$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 384$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Santa Clara Broncos | 74c | 301.92$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 43c | 284.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 11c | 275.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 20c | 255.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…3f41backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 20c | 228.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 12c | 213.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 17c | 179.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 52c | 157$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Santa Clara Broncos | 69c | 80.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 64.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 47.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 44.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 78c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Santa Clara Broncos | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.