Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf3313becb9fda26132352e1a99927aba5e29928a802737e9cafd8d91e8e4034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,345$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 40c | 671.24$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 520.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 421.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 73c | 403.23$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 348.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 250.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 60c | 213.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Under | 37c | 209.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 44c | 192.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Over | 43c | 190$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 37c | 156.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 155.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 154.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 152.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 61c | 124.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 60c | 97.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 76.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 42c | 69.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 60c | 60.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 79c | 53.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 51c | 41.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Under | 42c | 29.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 60c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -9.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 64c | 21.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.