La Liga · resolved market
Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf36b4e7fcbea3f96e0db08cabe54ec34496deba5197bf34666b425765e4919e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over | 72c | 13,801$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 4,260$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.43 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 28c | 4,145$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.29 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 4,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 28c | 1,217$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.46 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,201$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,077$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 37c | 857.84$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 486.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 72c | 375$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 280$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.21 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…426ebacked Over | 47c | 209.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 55c | 114$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 71c | 70.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…9f5bbacked Over | 43c | 41.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 36.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 69c | 35.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 63c | 34.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5this page
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.