La Liga · resolved market
Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd82d4355d41232e470946f341bb5de4c75f507e43d886c94f8113b7d51f7a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 4,752$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.88 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 4,018$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.9 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 524.55$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 383.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 139.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 46c | 85.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 55.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 30.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5this page
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.