Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Winter (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4bcfb1d2e53e3b32af1b45bdcc5bf6839390bbd3665f6eebeb3575fcd53819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brooksbyof Brooksby, Winter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brooksby | 62c | 4,000$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.97 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Winter | 37c | 1,551$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Winter | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Winter | 38c | 666.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…8c54backed Winter | 26c | 213.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brooksby | 62c | 212$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Winter | 38c | 171.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Winter | 38c | 139.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Winter | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Brooksby | 60c | 88.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Brooksby | 64c | 87.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Winter | 38c | 87.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Winter | 38c | 87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Brooksby | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed Winter | 38c | 79.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Brooksby | 62c | 71.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Winter | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Winter | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…c146backed Brooksby | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Winter (+1.5)this page
- Edward Winter vs. Jenson Brooksby: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Los Cabos Open: Edward Winter vs Jenson BrooksbyJenson Brooksby won
- Set 1 Winner: Winter vs BrooksbyBrooksby won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.