Tennis · resolved market
Los Cabos Open: Edward Winter vs Jenson Brooksby
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59d5c90579cee89d3c0469dbc41daeef11a6217eefbd4a1b2da700e85efcf68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jenson Brooksbyof Edward Winter, Jenson Brooksby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Edward Winter | 12c | 9,571$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Edward Winter | 14c | 7,213$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Edward Winter | 16c | 5,360$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.66 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Edward Winter | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Edward Winter | 6c | 2,326$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Edward Winter | 7c | 1,726$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Edward Winter | 13c | 1,670$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Edward Winter | 16c | 1,267$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Edward Winter | 7c | 967.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Edward Winter | 14c | 646.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Edward Winter | 13c | 619.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Edward Winter | 14c | 570.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Edward Winter | 13c | 421$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Edward Winter | 14c | 349.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed Edward Winter | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Edward Winter | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Edward Winter | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Edward Winter | 13c | 247.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Edward Winter | 14c | 231.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Edward Winter | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Edward Winter | 17c | 175.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Edward Winter | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Edward Winter | 12c | 122.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Edward Winter | 13c | 116.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Edward Winter | 16c | 112.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Edward Winter | 10c | 99.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Edward Winter | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Edward Winter | 14c | 93.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Edward Winter | 14c | 79.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Edward Winter | 17c | 66.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Cabos Open: Edward Winter vs Jenson Brooksbythis page
- Edward Winter vs. Jenson Brooksby: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Winter vs BrooksbyBrooksby won
- Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Winter (+1.5)Brooksby won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.